Created on 18th September 2022
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Seer can help facilitate informed decision-making in the presence of uncertainty which can be beneficial to various stakeholders (decision makers) by providing market based probabilistic estimates of events such as health emergencies/outbreaks or geopolitical events.
Seer solves the problems which have previously prevented the success of prediction markets:
As the project is pretty complex, we tried to reuse crypto primitives created by other projects.
We ended up developing a fully working (Market Creation, Liquidity Subsidies and Trading) and decentralized (no admin keys) Proof Of Concept without writing any code.
Note that it doesn’t mean that there were no technical challenges, we spent a lot of time reading documents and when those were not sufficient smart contracts to determine the appropriate smart contract calls to make for what couldn’t be done through an user interface.
We also ended up losing 100 Yes-DAI (to the question “Will Russia launch a military operation in Moldova in 2022”) due to a bug in the Conditional Token Explorer interface which sent tokens to an address which wasn’t deployed on Ethereum mainnet (thus burning those tokens) but only deployed on Gnosis Chain.
Let’s hope Putin doesn’t wake up with the thought of attacking more countries!
We managed to bypass it by interacting with the smart contract directly through MEW.
We also got some frontend issues while providing subsidies to liquidity providing on Swapr No-DAI / ETH pair.
We managed to solve this by using the Swapr functionality of providing rewards for individual tokens instead of liquidity pools (we just picked the liquidity pool as the individual token to incentivize).