Continuous on-chain sentiment markets
We turn public opinion into a real-time, tradable signal

Why:

• People want a live pulse of the crowd
• Legacy media lost trust
• Prediction markets ask “will it?” - not “how do we feel?”

Solution:

• Opinion market: price = signal, skin-in-the-game kills noise

https://github.com/istochastiq/r8-rate

https://r8-rate-mvp.vercel.app/

The goal:

• To come from subjective rankings to skin-in-the game tradable live charts

How we make it

• No oracles. No resolution
• This isn’t “will X happen?” It’s a continious sentiment read of the community’s current view. Enter/exit anytime
• Rankings are determined not by algorithms or opinions, but by the collective actions of market participants putting their money where their beliefs are
• Powered by LS-LMSR (Liquidity-Sensitive Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule)
• Gasless transactions for embedded wallets
• Trade with USDC on Base

First case - crypto KOLs

• Live charts “alpha/shitposting, degen/normie”, axes move by markets
• Put your money where your mouth is: buys/sells move the price -> the position on the chart moves
• Price = skin-in-the-game aggregated signal

How to:

• Pick an influencer -> open a position on an axis -> watch their point move
• Don’t like the placement? Move it with the market

What’s next:

• More sectors & dashboards - sports, politics, media, VC funds, projects, etc
• Exploring a perp layer on top using log-odds to trade with leverage and maximize upside

1. Crypto social-traders - active degen on CT, Polymarket, meme-coins
Core Need: fast, 24/7 bet on public sentiment to monetise opinions instantly
Pain Points:
- Memes != clear scoreboard
- Prediction markets resolve slowly

2. Retail “Normies”
Core Need: simple up–down bet to make quick money, greed first
Pain Points:
- Most instruments feel complex
- Memes are random, no fair entry price

3. Fan communities - k-pop fandoms, gaming guilds, NFT PFP collectors, etc.
Core Need: signal loyalty - "we're pumping our star/collection"
Pain Points:
- Follower counts and likes easy to make fake
- No on-chain “fan power” metric

1. TakesFun
Issue:

• Very complicated users onboarding even for degens. 2 bonding curves for the each statement
• Pump.fun problem = snipers and cabals
• Wash‑trading risk from influencers who launched their tokens + a large KOL can push its own take so the price reflects its audience, not the market consensus
• Manipulation of 20% liquidity deduction rule - a coordinated bets in one direction instantly burns out the other side liquidity, creating the illusion of a strong consensus

2. Noise
Trading Kaito mindshare
Issue:

• It doesn't show actual people's feelings about basic assets - whether it’s positive or negative. Example: SBF collapse = SBF mindshare would grow same time
• Mostly people bet on grow as soon as all hottest mindshares are growing over certain period on Kaito
• Basic asset manipulation risk: a lot of agencies offer increasing your mindshare
• Trust to Kaito’s mindshare is decreasing due to low quality yapping

3. Polymarket and all other prediction markets
Issue:

• Resolution and binary outcomes - no answer on the question whether Musk's reputation positive or negative now