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Freedom of Prediction

Freedom of Prediction

Freedom of Prediction, in control & features!

Created on 29th June 2025

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Freedom of Prediction

Freedom of Prediction

Freedom of Prediction, in control & features!

The problem Freedom of Prediction solves

  1. Permissionless & Decentralized Market Creation for preventing control during Market Creation.
  2. World's first Quantum Market implementation, integrated with Conditional Prediction Market to solve the problem of capital requirement & making better use of capital for prediction by enabling users to model opinions in each track of a Market by using the total capital staked in the Market for each track individually!
  3. Unique Market Resolution Mechanism, valuing both, the "YES" & "NO" tracks in the market instead of just "YES" or "NO", leading to better prediction, as users have to model their opinions properly for each track (instead of buying in only one track) for getting rewarded.
  4. Used ElizaOS for Twitter/X tweet on Market Creation & Market Resolution.
  5. Decentralized Market Resolution powered by Eliza OS bridged with Chainlink function.
  6. LMSR bonding curves instead of the classic Linear or Quarter Circle curves. Leading to better market manipulation resistance & better prediction.
  7. A completely Permissionless & Decentralized Conditional + Quantum Prediction Market!

Challenges we ran into

  1. Integrating elizaos was pretty tough, needed to used eliza-starter kit which had limited options, in contrast to elizaos-cli version.
  2. Twitter bot was challenging, aligning the agent to post only the data which is essentioal was quite difficult.
  3. Inventing a completely new market resolution mechanism for this unique market & better incentivization of future prediction.
  4. Chainlink functions work fine on Sepolia. Faced difficulty setting up & running Chainlink functions on Localhost.

Tracks Applied (2)

Onchain Finance

It's the First-ever implementation of Quantum Market, successfully fused with conditional prediction markets. Used LMSR ...Read More

Best Use of ElizaOS

The system consists of three agents: Validator, Resolver, and Twitter, each handling a key stage of the prediction marke...Read More

ElizaOS

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