EigenBets
EigenBets: AI-Powered, Fully Automated Prediction Markets built using AVS and AMM
Created on 1st March 2025
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EigenBets
EigenBets: AI-Powered, Fully Automated Prediction Markets built using AVS and AMM
The problem EigenBets solves
EigenBets solves several critical problems in the prediction market space:
Elimination of Human Bias and Manipulation
- Fully automated, AI-driven market resolution removes the potential for human intervention and bias
 - Dual AI verification system using different models (Gaia with Llama-3 and Hyperbolic with DeepSeek-V3) ensures consensus and prevents manipulation
 
Enhanced Transparency and Trust
- All transactions and market resolutions are recorded on public ledgers, allowing for complete verification of outcomes
 - Decentralized architecture gives users more control over their funds and eliminates the need for a central authority
 
Regulatory Compliance and Risk Reduction
- By removing human intervention, EigenBets reduces regulatory risks associated with centralized prediction markets
 - Automated systems provide better detection and prevention of market manipulation attempts
 
Improved Market Efficiency and Accuracy
- AI agents process vast amounts of data in real-time, leading to more accurate predictions and efficient price discovery
 - Continuous market presence and automated market-making reduce bid-ask spreads and enhance liquidity
 
Cost-Effective and Scalable
- Reduced operational costs through automation compared to traditional betting platforms
 - Highly scalable infrastructure capable of handling millions of transactions with minimal additional investment
 
Use Cases and Applications
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Financial Forecasting: Traders can use EigenBets for more accurate predictions on stock prices, cryptocurrency movements, and economic indicators
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Political Event Outcomes: Users can bet on election results, policy decisions, and geopolitical developments with reduced risk of manipulation
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Sports Betting: EigenBets can offer a more transparent and efficient platform for wagering on sports outcomes
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Corporate Decision Making: Companies can leverage EigenBets for internal predictions
 
User Interaction and Data Flow
1. Account Creation and Wallet Connection
- Users download the EigenBets mobile app or visit the web platform
 - They create an account or log in using existing Web3 credentials
 - Connect their preferred wallet (MetaMask, WalletConnect, or Coinbase Wallet)
 
2. Browsing Markets
- Users are presented with a dashboard of active prediction markets
 - Markets can be filtered by category, popularity, or closing time
 - Each market displays current odds, total liquidity, and time remaining
 
3. Placing Bets
- User selects a market of interest
 - Chooses YES or NO position
 - Enters the amount of USDC to bet
 - Confirms transaction in their connected wallet
 - Smart contract executes the swap, minting YES/NO tokens
 
4. Managing Positions
- Users can view their active bets in their portfolio
 - Option to increase position or sell tokens back to the market
 - Real-time updates on current odds and potential winnings
 
5. Market Resolution
- When the market closes, the AVS initiates the verification process
 - Dual AI agents analyze data sources (e.g., Twitter sentiment)
 - Consensus is reached and recorded on IPFS
 - Smart contract receives the verified outcome
 
6. Claiming Winnings
- Users holding winning tokens are notified
 - They can claim their winnings directly through the app
 - Smart contract distributes USDC proportionally to winners
 
Data Flow
graph TD A[User] -->|Connects Wallet| B[EigenBets Frontend] B -->|Fetches Markets| C[Smart Contracts] A -->|Places Bet| B B -->|Executes Swap| C C -->|Mints Tokens| B D[AVS - AI Agents] -->|Analyze Data| E[IPFS] E -->|Verified Outcome| C C -->|Resolves Market| B A -->|Claims Winnings| B B -->|Distributes USDC| C
The project architecture and development process
EigenBets is built on three core components:
- Smart Contracts (Uniswap v4 Hooks)
 - Automated Verification System (AVS)
 - Cross-Platform Frontend
 
Core Functionality
Smart Contracts
- Implement prediction markets for binary outcomes (YES/NO)
 - Utilize USDC as the base currency
 - Leverage Uniswap v4 Hooks for custom AMM logic
 - Enable users to bet, add/remove liquidity, and claim winnings
 
Automated Verification System (AVS)
- Dual AI agents (Gaia with Llama-3 and Hyperbolic with DeepSeek-V3)
 - Analyze cryptocurrency price data and social media sentiment
 - Provide tamper-resistant, verifiable market resolution
 - Store validation data on IPFS for transparency
 
Cross-Platform Frontend
- Built with Flutter for iOS, Android, and Web compatibility
 - Intuitive interface for market browsing, betting, and portfolio management
 - Seamless wallet integration (MetaMask, WalletConnect, Coinbase Wallet)
 
Key Implementation Details
- 
Smart Contract Logic
- Custom swap() function for direct and two-step token exchanges
 - Liquidity tracking and management within hooks
 - Automated market resolution and winnings distribution
 
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AVS Integration
- RESTful API for market creation and verification requests
 - Docker containerization for consistent deployment
 - Prometheus and Grafana monitoring for system health
 
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Frontend Development
- Responsive design with adaptive layouts
 - Web3 connectivity via JavaScript bridge and native SDKs
 - State management using Provider pattern for reactive UI updates
 
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Security Measures
- Dual AI validation to prevent manipulation
 - IPFS storage for immutable record-keeping
 - Input validation to guard against injection attacks
 
 
By leveraging EigenLayer's infrastructure, EigenBets aims to provide a trustless, transparent, and efficient prediction market platform that eliminates human intervention
Product Integrations
EigenBets integrates several key APIs and services to enhance its functionality:
Chainlink Oracle Network
- Provides real-time cryptocurrency price data for market resolution
 - Enables access to external APIs for additional data sources
 
Automated Verification System (AVS)
- Custom-built oracle service for social media sentiment analysis
 - Dual AI agents process and verify market outcomes
 
Smart Contract Interactions
- Uniswap v4 Hooks for custom AMM logic
 - EigenLayer integration for AVS registration and verification
 
Key differentiators and uniqueness of the project
Key Differentiators
1. Fully Automated Resolution
- EigenBets: Dual AI agents analyze data and resolve markets without human intervention
 - Polymarket: Relies on human arbiters, introducing potential bias and manipulation
 
2. Transparent Verification System
- EigenBets: Automated Verification System (AVS) with all data stored on IPFS
 - Polymarket: Centralized verification process, lacking full transparency
 
3. Regulatory Compliance
- EigenBets: Reduced regulatory risk due to elimination of human intervention
 - Polymarket: Faced $1.4 million CFTC fine and US customer prohibition
 
4. Custom AMM Integration
- EigenBets: Uniswap v4 Hooks for superior liquidity and price discovery
 - Polymarket: Traditional market-making mechanisms
 
5. Decentralization
- EigenBets: Truly decentralized with no central authority or identifiable leadership
 - Polymarket: Operates with a central headquarters and CEO
 
Unique Aspects
- Dual AI Consensus: Utilizes two different AI models (Gaia/Llama-3 and Hyperbolic/DeepSeek-V3) for outcome verification
 - EigenLayer Integration: Leverages EigenLayer for enhanced security and scalability
 - Cross-Platform Flutter Frontend: Seamless experience across web and mobile devices
 - Multi-Asset Support: Accepts over 30 cryptocurrencies as collateral
 
By addressing Polymarket's key weaknesses - human intervention, regulatory issues, and centralization - EigenBets offers a more trustless, efficient, and scalable prediction market platform.
Tracks Applied (11)
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