EigenBets solves several critical problems in the prediction market space:
Elimination of Human Bias and Manipulation
- Fully automated, AI-driven market resolution removes the potential for human intervention and bias
- Dual AI verification system using different models (Gaia with Llama-3 and Hyperbolic with DeepSeek-V3) ensures consensus and prevents manipulation
Enhanced Transparency and Trust
- All transactions and market resolutions are recorded on public ledgers, allowing for complete verification of outcomes
- Decentralized architecture gives users more control over their funds and eliminates the need for a central authority
Regulatory Compliance and Risk Reduction
- By removing human intervention, EigenBets reduces regulatory risks associated with centralized prediction markets
- Automated systems provide better detection and prevention of market manipulation attempts
Improved Market Efficiency and Accuracy
- AI agents process vast amounts of data in real-time, leading to more accurate predictions and efficient price discovery
- Continuous market presence and automated market-making reduce bid-ask spreads and enhance liquidity
Cost-Effective and Scalable
- Reduced operational costs through automation compared to traditional betting platforms
- Highly scalable infrastructure capable of handling millions of transactions with minimal additional investment
Use Cases and Applications
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Financial Forecasting: Traders can use EigenBets for more accurate predictions on stock prices, cryptocurrency movements, and economic indicators
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Political Event Outcomes: Users can bet on election results, policy decisions, and geopolitical developments with reduced risk of manipulation
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Sports Betting: EigenBets can offer a more transparent and efficient platform for wagering on sports outcomes
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Corporate Decision Making: Companies can leverage EigenBets for internal predictions
1. Account Creation and Wallet Connection
- Users download the EigenBets mobile app or visit the web platform
- They create an account or log in using existing Web3 credentials
- Connect their preferred wallet (MetaMask, WalletConnect, or Coinbase Wallet)
2. Browsing Markets
- Users are presented with a dashboard of active prediction markets
- Markets can be filtered by category, popularity, or closing time
- Each market displays current odds, total liquidity, and time remaining
3. Placing Bets
- User selects a market of interest
- Chooses YES or NO position
- Enters the amount of USDC to bet
- Confirms transaction in their connected wallet
- Smart contract executes the swap, minting YES/NO tokens
4. Managing Positions
- Users can view their active bets in their portfolio
- Option to increase position or sell tokens back to the market
- Real-time updates on current odds and potential winnings
5. Market Resolution
- When the market closes, the AVS initiates the verification process
- Dual AI agents analyze data sources (e.g., Twitter sentiment)
- Consensus is reached and recorded on IPFS
- Smart contract receives the verified outcome
6. Claiming Winnings
- Users holding winning tokens are notified
- They can claim their winnings directly through the app
- Smart contract distributes USDC proportionally to winners
Data Flow
graph TD
A[User] -->|Connects Wallet| B[EigenBets Frontend]
B -->|Fetches Markets| C[Smart Contracts]
A -->|Places Bet| B
B -->|Executes Swap| C
C -->|Mints Tokens| B
D[AVS - AI Agents] -->|Analyze Data| E[IPFS]
E -->|Verified Outcome| C
C -->|Resolves Market| B
A -->|Claims Winnings| B
B -->|Distributes USDC| C
EigenBets is built on three core components:
- Smart Contracts (Uniswap v4 Hooks)
- Automated Verification System (AVS)
- Cross-Platform Frontend
Core Functionality
Smart Contracts
- Implement prediction markets for binary outcomes (YES/NO)
- Utilize USDC as the base currency
- Leverage Uniswap v4 Hooks for custom AMM logic
- Enable users to bet, add/remove liquidity, and claim winnings
Automated Verification System (AVS)
- Dual AI agents (Gaia with Llama-3 and Hyperbolic with DeepSeek-V3)
- Analyze cryptocurrency price data and social media sentiment
- Provide tamper-resistant, verifiable market resolution
- Store validation data on IPFS for transparency
Cross-Platform Frontend
- Built with Flutter for iOS, Android, and Web compatibility
- Intuitive interface for market browsing, betting, and portfolio management
- Seamless wallet integration (MetaMask, WalletConnect, Coinbase Wallet)
Key Implementation Details
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Smart Contract Logic
- Custom swap() function for direct and two-step token exchanges
- Liquidity tracking and management within hooks
- Automated market resolution and winnings distribution
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AVS Integration
- RESTful API for market creation and verification requests
- Docker containerization for consistent deployment
- Prometheus and Grafana monitoring for system health
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Frontend Development
- Responsive design with adaptive layouts
- Web3 connectivity via JavaScript bridge and native SDKs
- State management using Provider pattern for reactive UI updates
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Security Measures
- Dual AI validation to prevent manipulation
- IPFS storage for immutable record-keeping
- Input validation to guard against injection attacks
By leveraging EigenLayer's infrastructure, EigenBets aims to provide a trustless, transparent, and efficient prediction market platform that eliminates human intervention
EigenBets integrates several key APIs and services to enhance its functionality:
Chainlink Oracle Network
- Provides real-time cryptocurrency price data for market resolution
- Enables access to external APIs for additional data sources
Automated Verification System (AVS)
- Custom-built oracle service for social media sentiment analysis
- Dual AI agents process and verify market outcomes
Smart Contract Interactions
- Uniswap v4 Hooks for custom AMM logic
- EigenLayer integration for AVS registration and verification
Key Differentiators
1. Fully Automated Resolution
- EigenBets: Dual AI agents analyze data and resolve markets without human intervention
- Polymarket: Relies on human arbiters, introducing potential bias and manipulation
2. Transparent Verification System
- EigenBets: Automated Verification System (AVS) with all data stored on IPFS
- Polymarket: Centralized verification process, lacking full transparency
3. Regulatory Compliance
- EigenBets: Reduced regulatory risk due to elimination of human intervention
- Polymarket: Faced $1.4 million CFTC fine and US customer prohibition
4. Custom AMM Integration
- EigenBets: Uniswap v4 Hooks for superior liquidity and price discovery
- Polymarket: Traditional market-making mechanisms
5. Decentralization
- EigenBets: Truly decentralized with no central authority or identifiable leadership
- Polymarket: Operates with a central headquarters and CEO
Unique Aspects
- Dual AI Consensus: Utilizes two different AI models (Gaia/Llama-3 and Hyperbolic/DeepSeek-V3) for outcome verification
- EigenLayer Integration: Leverages EigenLayer for enhanced security and scalability
- Cross-Platform Flutter Frontend: Seamless experience across web and mobile devices
- Multi-Asset Support: Accepts over 30 cryptocurrencies as collateral
By addressing Polymarket's key weaknesses - human intervention, regulatory issues, and centralization - EigenBets offers a more trustless, efficient, and scalable prediction market platform.